4 February 2025

USAID Faces Uncertain Future Amid Trump Administration Overhaul

USAID

The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) is undergoing a period of dramatic uncertainty following a series of controversial administrative actions under President Donald Trump’s second term. The agency’s website has gone offline, several top security officials have been placed on leave, and discussions are underway regarding its potential integration into the State Department—a move that could fundamentally alter U.S. foreign aid policy.

USAID, which operates with an annual budget of around $30 billion, plays a critical role in delivering humanitarian assistance, economic development programs, and disaster relief to countries around the world. However, the agency has increasingly become a target of the Trump administration’s efforts to cut government spending and reshape foreign aid to align more closely with its “America First” doctrine.

Administrative Shakeup and Leadership Changes

In the past two weeks, USAID has seen an unprecedented shakeup, with multiple career officials placed on leave or dismissed. Two senior security officers were suspended after allegedly blocking access to agency systems, including classified data, from representatives of Elon Musk’s newly established Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). The DOGE has been tasked with identifying and eliminating programs the administration deems wasteful or misaligned with its policy priorities.

President Trump has been vocal about his criticism of USAID, calling it “an outdated bureaucracy run by radical lunatics” and vowing to restructure or even dismantle the agency. Sources within the administration suggest that Musk’s DOGE team has flagged numerous USAID programs for potential cuts, including climate resilience initiatives, refugee assistance programs, and certain global health partnerships.

Potential Absorption into the State Department

Among the most consequential proposals currently under discussion is the full absorption of USAID into the U.S. Department of State. While USAID is technically already under the authority of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, it has historically operated with a level of independence, maintaining its own budget and leadership. If the integration goes forward, it would effectively centralize U.S. foreign aid decisions under the State Department, shifting the focus from long-term development projects to diplomacy-driven aid distribution.

Critics argue that such a move could jeopardize USAID’s mission by making humanitarian and development assistance more directly tied to political and diplomatic considerations. Development experts warn that aid effectiveness could suffer, as decisions may be influenced by short-term geopolitical interests rather than long-term development goals.

According to an anonymous State Department official, the proposed restructuring would include:

  • Eliminating certain foreign assistance programs, particularly those focusing on climate change, gender equality, and reproductive health.
  • Shifting humanitarian aid funding to direct government-to-government assistance, rather than supporting NGOs and international agencies.
  • Reducing USAID’s workforce, particularly within overseas missions.

If USAID is dissolved or significantly downsized, it could create a vacuum in global development aid—one that geopolitical rivals like China and Russia may seek to fill through their own aid initiatives.

Political Backlash and International Concerns

The proposed overhaul has sparked significant political pushback, particularly from congressional Democrats. Senator Chris Coons, a key supporter of international development funding, condemned the move, stating:

“President Trump is gutting the most effective humanitarian aid agency in the world. This will have catastrophic consequences, not just for millions of people who rely on U.S. aid, but for our own national security.”

Representative Brian Mast, a Republican and chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, has expressed conditional support for restructuring, arguing that USAID should be more closely aligned with U.S. foreign policy objectives. However, even some Republicans have expressed concerns about the rapid nature of these changes and their potential impact on U.S. global influence.

Internationally, U.S. allies and humanitarian organizations have voiced alarm over the developments. The European Union, which frequently partners with USAID on development programs, issued a statement urging the U.S. to maintain its leadership role in global aid efforts. Meanwhile, officials from the United Nations and World Bank have warned that a major reduction in U.S. foreign aid could destabilize fragile economies and exacerbate humanitarian crises in regions such as Africa and the Middle East.

Immediate Impact on USAID Operations

Already, the ongoing administrative turmoil has resulted in delays and disruptions to USAID’s programs worldwide. According to internal memos, hundreds of contractors and aid workers have been furloughed, and several projects—including emergency food assistance programs and public health initiatives—have been suspended pending further budget reviews.

Additionally, some foreign governments that rely on U.S. assistance have begun seeking alternative partnerships. Kenya and Indonesia, for example, have reportedly entered talks with China’s Belt and Road Initiative to secure development funding, raising concerns that the U.S. could be ceding influence in strategically important regions.

What’s Next?

The next few weeks will be crucial in determining the fate of USAID. If the agency is fully absorbed into the State Department, it could mark the most significant restructuring of U.S. foreign aid policy in decades. However, with strong political opposition and potential legal challenges, the administration may face hurdles in implementing its proposed changes.

For now, aid workers, diplomats, and foreign policy experts are left watching closely as the Trump administration moves forward with what could be a historic transformation of America’s role in global development.